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JSMR

Contact our analyst Eka
Another upgrade. BUY
Higher Subsidiary Contribution
  • JSMR recorded toll road revenues of IDR 4.74 trillion in 1H2019, +9.2% YoY from IDR 4.34 trillion in 1H2018. Toll road revenue at the parent level was IDR 3.93 trillion up slightly +3.9% YoY. Meanwhile toll road revenue at the subsidiary level increased +45% yoy from IDR 561 billion in 1H2018 to IDR 813 billion in 1H2019. The contribution of subsidiary revenue to total revenue also increased from 12.9% in 1H2018 to 17% in 1H2019.
  • Higher toll road revenue at the Subsidiary level came from additional new toll road operations.
  • The connectivity of new toll read with existing ones also helped to boost toll revenues in some area.
  • Toll revenue on Palimanan – Kanci, Semarang, Surabaya – Mojokerto grew +19.5%, +45.7% and +55.1% respectively, from the increased Trans Java toll road connectivity in 1H2019.
  • Toll revenue from Surabaya – Gempol and Gempol Pandaan also increased +33.2% and +45.7% YoY in 1H2019. 
1H2019 Results: Improved Margin
  • JSMR maintained their operation costs in 1H2019 from lower salaries and allowance costs. Together with gains on divestment of Gempol – Pandaan, and the de consolidation of 3 Toll Road Subsidiaries through the DINFRA funding scheme with a total value of IDR 301.1 billon, this helped JSMR to record a better EBITDA margin and Operating margin.
  • Operating income grew +15% YoY to IDR 2.76 billion in 1H2019, with Operating margin at 53% up from 50% in 1H2018.
  • EBITDA grew +15.4% YoY to IDR 3.34 billion from IDR 2.98 billion in 1H2018, and EBITDA margin improvement to 64.9% from 60.5% in 1H2018.
  • We are expecting JSMR’s EBITDA margin to reach 67% in 2019F as they continue to improve direct costs. Net income will grow 11.3% YoY to IDR 2.45 trillion.
Valuation: TP 6,895, Upside 23.1% BUY
  • We have a one year target price for JSMR of IDR. 6,895, offering investors a potential return of 23.1%. This would mean the stock trading at 18.7x 2020F PE. We recommend BUY.
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Previously

August 2018
January 18, 2018
PT. Binaartha Sekuritas
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